ACUS11 KWNS 272322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272322
KYZ000-INZ000-280045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1774
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0622 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Areas affected...portions of far southern Indiana into central and
eastern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely

Valid 272322Z - 280045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The severe threat will increase over the next few hours in central/eastern KY with the approach of storms from IN and
southwestern OH. Damaging gusts are the main threat. A WW issuance
may be needed in the next hour or so.

DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms, with an appreciable history
damaging gusts continues to propagate southward. The downstream
airmass is moderately to strongly unstable (e.g. 2000-4000 J/kg
MLCAPE), and adequately sheared (40+ kts of effective bulk shear).
Given several hours remaining for diurnal heating ahead of these
storms, the current thinking is that they will pose a damaging gust
threat in central and eastern KY through at least sunset. As such, a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed to address the
impending threat.

..Squitieri/Smith.. 07/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-G8Usskr-nW3vdL7Ukvo5Bob38pFOFoevEkugAzl4OJ_--NcWVEzhMIcqLEhHLuyc_ud3Q2h65yo6cHXoVKN8Z6pfnM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON 38418660 38738525 38698414 38538332 37978293 37578293
37218333 37168395 37328503 37608582 37948637 38418660

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)