ACUS11 KWNS 120242
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120241
AZZ000-120445-

Mesoscale Discussion 1597
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0941 PM CDT Sat Jul 11 2026

Areas affected...southern Arizona

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484...

Valid 120241Z - 120445Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484
continues.

SUMMARY...The potential for isolated severe wind gusts will continue
for the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Earlier intense thunderstorms that moved through the
Tucson area have since weakened, per MRMS reflectivity trends. That
observation is consistent with latest objective analysis, which
suggests that convective inhibition is increasing across the
discussion area. Nonetheless, the existence of an active cold pool
and some radar indication of forward-propagational characteristics
with the ongoing storms over central Pima County suggest a continued
risk for isolated severe wind gusts for the next 1-2 hours as storms
move into the western part of the county.

..Mead.. 07/12/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-J7wqza6k_ypXq8QaTXjHzqdGMHRCTa2MXinlpZeHY6dDYCUpThg5bghNBH_JuyFro3a5HccMlq4ahGcXPd2b7K_jSI$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...PSR...

LAT...LON 33041207 32971085 32520991 32000928 31400944 31411103
31701199 32021317 32451328 32581234 33041207

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
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