ACUS11 KWNS 102031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102030
NCZ000-SCZ000-102230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1577
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Areas affected...portions of the North Carolina Piedmont

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 102030Z - 102230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A locally greater risk for damaging wind gusts is likely
to materialize across the North Carolina Piedmont over the next
several hours.

DISCUSSION...Aided by subtly enhanced mid-level flow associated with
a remnant mid-level MCV, convection has loosely organized into a
linear band across portions of central North Carolina over the past
1-2 hours, with several reports of damaging wind gusts (and a
measured 43 kt wind gust) noted in the Charlotte vicinity. While
further appreciable organization remains unlikely owing to weak
deep-layer shear, this loosely organized band is impinging on a hot (temperatures approaching 100 F) and moist low-level air mass with
both high PW and steep low-level lapse rates. This is expected to
result in a locally greater threat for water-loaded downbursts and
damaging wind gusts (largely in the 45-55 mph range, locally higher)
across the North Carolina Piedmont through this evening.

..Chalmers/Smith.. 07/10/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4gJuORD-PGerWLbAFk33cQJLiQ5l4ds2GYqPtNbeJQL7ut2mpP8Pvp089CKQAnvVh2FITXQR39erpYIe_E5IB6HExhM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 36477903 36537866 36497810 36387785 36137761 35707764
35317784 34917817 34707875 34707959 34788031 34888063
35198063 35987983 36477903

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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