ACUS11 KWNS 100444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100444
KSZ000-NEZ000-100615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1571
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1144 PM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026

Areas affected...Southwest/south-central NE into western/central KS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478...

Valid 100444Z - 100615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 478
continues.

SUMMARY...Localized severe gusts and perhaps isolated hail may
continue into the early morning.

DISCUSSION...A convective line with a history of producing severe
gusts has shown recent signs of weakening across western KS. With
increasing CINH downstream into central KS, a notable uptick in
storm organization is not currently anticipated. However, given the
presence of a relatively well established cold pool and rear-inflow
jet (noted on the KGLD VWP), strong to localized severe gusts will
remain possible until a more definitive weakening trend occurs.

Farther north, merging outflows have resulted in storm
intensification near North Platte. Isolated hail may continue to be
a threat in the short term with this storm, while localized strong
to severe gusts may eventually spread into south-central NE, where
moderate buoyancy remains in place.

..Dean.. 07/10/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5izRNRUaWjVJcug56EISuf_grGNum32D53e39O-Wc9iQVAmUYjX-pc5Mk_T3oMIMfYY2STk6NiLmpiyn0kSpaE1r06k$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 41390069 41730012 41079929 39939870 38899835 37739869
37789982 37860061 38310051 38980014 39840049 40790062
41390069

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)