ACUS11 KWNS 081959
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081959
WYZ000-COZ000-UTZ000-IDZ000-NVZ000-082200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1544
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0259 PM CDT Wed Jul 08 2026

Areas affected...portions of the northern Great Basin

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 081959Z - 082200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Strong to occasionally severe thunderstorms will pose a
risk for isolated damaging/severe wind gusts through this evening.
Watch issuance is unlikely at this time.

DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered convection has developed
across portions of the northern Great Basin as of 1950 UTC. A
modified 18z SLC sounding depicts minimal remaining inhibition, with
a deep, well-mixed boundary layer and weak buoyancy (200-500 J/kg
MLCAPE) in place. As continued insolation results in additional
thunderstorm development through the afternoon, steep low-level
lapse rates and high LCLs (2500-3000+ m) will promote the potential
for isolated damaging/severe wind gusts. Modest effective shear (~20
kts or less) and weak deep-layer flow (generally 25 kts or less
sampled by the SFX/MTX/RIW VWPs) should largely limit storm
organization and temper the overall severe threat. While a corridor
or two of locally greater severe potential may manifest where storms
cluster along developing cold pools, the severe risk is expected to
remain too isolated for watch issuance at this time.

..Chalmers/Hart.. 07/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4OCNBGrafSRO_IN8YpL2CAuclgu1Srk4PY58xa9tsinI4ApWcT2ZM0vNHwuOCIka5sSiNlGjRmgCnmM7nn2ejMxKqWw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CYS...RIW...GJT...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...

LAT...LON 41810612 41430632 41150671 40960706 40740780 40600913
40571110 40601181 40811388 41131477 41711541 42161566
42631548 42901497 43171366 43231243 43261086 43240892
43140715 43030666 42870642 42520616 42200607 41810612

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)