ACUS11 KWNS 080558
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080558
MNZ000-SDZ000-080700-

Mesoscale Discussion 1540
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1258 AM CDT Wed Jul 08 2026

Areas affected...eastern South Dakota into western Minnesota

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 080558Z - 080700Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Occasional strong to severe gusts will be possible through
the morning across eastern SD into western MN.

DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms is ongoing along arcing outflow
across eastern SD. This will soon cross the surface boundary that
extends across eastern SD into western MN. Recent gusts 60-63 mph
were reported across eastern SD. The environment north and south of
the boundary remains favorably sheared and unstable, with around
1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE an 30-40 kts of deep layer shear.
Inhibition is strong along and south of the boundary, likely meaning
that storms are elevated in nature which may limit the overall
severe potential. A few strong to severe gusts may be possible
through the morning. A watch is unlikely to be needed but trends
will be monitored.

..Thornton/Mosier.. 07/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!51bDMIUuOeWs4_xSK7rHxhk2otvNgGwApYwEp2q3HIcSlY1Eu54wKSiINp9Pl6RCCHLWlQlLmzdN8kDmh-P22DHFjKE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON 45649633 45619674 45319746 45179781 44759803 44259791
43989751 43829693 43739648 43689607 43749539 43839484
44059459 44379444 44799459 45169523 45649633

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)