ACUS11 KWNS 070335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070334=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-070500-

Mesoscale Discussion 1530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1034 PM CDT Mon Jul 06 2026

Areas affected...northeast SD...central MN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468...

Valid 070334Z - 070500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468
continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for strong to locally severe gusts capable of
wind damage will continue into the early overnight. Peak gusts
50-65 mph are possible with the stronger surges and inflections
within the squall line.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows a mature squall line extending from
northeast SD east-northeastward across central MN late this evening.
Despite gradual nocturnal cooling, the boundary layer remains
supportive of stronger downdrafts penetrating through increased
SBCINH. The deeper thunderstorm cores will preferentially favor the
western 1/2 to 1/3 of the squall line where both the lead gust front
and parent updrafts have not become substantially displaced, and in
closer proximity to higher theta-e. As a result, the strong to
locally severe wind threat will favor the western half of of the
Watch over the next couple of hours but perhaps also extend farther
east where small-scale bowing segments have matured.

..Smith.. 07/07/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_XXJtJ38J4BD841_ci-i6S9aXA_Jriyv0LarKipNV5MsjowRzYD9lf9rF9mfdXFziC1vMi-EA= Zc-c7dUFeilvr_Ay3M$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...

LAT...LON 45539301 44809587 44739682 44889723 45369733 46149379
46459359 46629339 46609284 46379248 46069239 45539301=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)