ACUS11 KWNS 052003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052002=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-052130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0013
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 PM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

Areas affected...far northeast Louisiana into west-central MS

Concerning...Tornado Watch 2...

Valid 052002Z - 052130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 2 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado potential appears to be increasing across far
northeast Louisiana into southwest Mississippi.

DISCUSSION...A favorable environment for increased severe activity
is developing across northeast LA into adjacent portions of
west-central MS this afternoon. Temperatures have warmed into the
upper 60s to low 70s amid cloud breaks, and surface dewpoints are in
the 62-66 F range. This is allowing for some greater destabilization
within an area of strong surface pressure falls (around 4 mb the
past 2 hours) and greater low-level confluence. Semi-discrete
convection ongoing in this area, as well as deepening convection
moving into this region from central LA, may pose a greater tornado
risk over the next 1-2 hours.

..Leitman.. 01/05/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-osaVc8aPBfwtHyieH1qwgoUXuqinyvUXakEqqsdUJLTs1qTsLK5Q2bYqbAAaqAftOBqwtgMB= EGW4JSSLiHd-DFZcZs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

LAT...LON 33139146 33349107 33269078 33069053 32769046 32259049
31859083 31839139 31909176 32049192 32319194 32669169
32759165 33139146=20


=3D =3D =3D
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