ACUS11 KWNS 090659
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090659=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-090830-

Mesoscale Discussion 1563
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0159 AM CDT Tue Jul 09 2024

Areas affected...northeast Arkansas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 090659Z - 090830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Low tornado threat may persist through the early morning
hours. No additional tornado watch is anticipated early this
morning.

DISCUSSION...Tornado watch 515 will be allowed to expire at 07Z.
Occasional low-level circulation has been evident from the KLZK and
KNQA WSR-88Ds, but storm activity is becoming increasingly
concentrated within weaker buoyancy and heavy rain where more robust
updrafts are less likely. Given the favorable low-level shear
apparent on the KNQA VWP, intermittent stronger low-level rotation
remains possible, but expect the primary tornado threat to have
diminished.

A downstream/replacement tornado watch is not expected.

..Bentley/Smith.. 07/09/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_rdwDQVg0td0Lqn5pqoYj1xy9GU77XRf9UypvA65nRNTfFLaNuXG1RWkPYyEoJ3MI1PC4Vprn= eAJX8Xo-h_S-XK5JuA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...

LAT...LON 34759297 35509233 36039086 36218983 36148887 35878846
35598837 35198882 34838970 34419054 34039130 34119204
34229245 34759297=20


=3D =3D =3D
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