ACUS11 KWNS 040155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040155=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-040330-
Mesoscale Discussion 1531
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0855 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024
Areas affected...northwest/north-central KS and south-central NE
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502...504...
Valid 040155Z - 040330Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502, 504
continues.
SUMMARY...Strong to severe wind gusts of 50-70 mph along with
marginal hail from 0.75-1.25 inches in diameter will remain possible
over the next couple hours across parts of northwest to
north-central Kansas and south-central Nebraska. An additional
severe thunderstorm watch farther east appears unlikely.
DISCUSSION...A recent uptick in the trailing portion of a
predominately non-severe QLCS occurred in far southwest NE, yielding
a measured severe gust of 55 kts at the McCook ASOS. This portion of
the line appears likely to merge with a more north/south-oriented
cluster over northwest KS which has produced a measured strong gust
of 46 kts at the Colby AWOS. The thermodynamic environment
immediately downstream is still favorable for occasional
intensification during the next hour or so. But towards 04-05Z, the
combination of increasing MLCIN and diminishing buoyancy with
eastern extent suggests the severe wind threat should wane east of north-central KS.
..Grams.. 07/04/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9pWELq0NfKPfbUzMsQHUM4CJg-6BukQydjR5_3XunWZ7qpus74DkinVppPwX2_-wudjFU3cB2= Ps9rRCCn2Pjtdj_iO0$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 40360005 40449972 40649905 41269835 41479780 41249715
40559728 39469786 39159831 38829909 38820002 38870087
39570068 40360005=20
=3D =3D =3D
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