• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1531

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jul 4 01:55:58 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 040155
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 040155=20
    NEZ000-KSZ000-040330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1531
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0855 PM CDT Wed Jul 03 2024

    Areas affected...northwest/north-central KS and south-central NE

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502...504...

    Valid 040155Z - 040330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 502, 504
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong to severe wind gusts of 50-70 mph along with
    marginal hail from 0.75-1.25 inches in diameter will remain possible
    over the next couple hours across parts of northwest to
    north-central Kansas and south-central Nebraska. An additional
    severe thunderstorm watch farther east appears unlikely.

    DISCUSSION...A recent uptick in the trailing portion of a
    predominately non-severe QLCS occurred in far southwest NE, yielding
    a measured severe gust of 55 kts at the McCook ASOS. This portion of
    the line appears likely to merge with a more north/south-oriented
    cluster over northwest KS which has produced a measured strong gust
    of 46 kts at the Colby AWOS. The thermodynamic environment
    immediately downstream is still favorable for occasional
    intensification during the next hour or so. But towards 04-05Z, the
    combination of increasing MLCIN and diminishing buoyancy with
    eastern extent suggests the severe wind threat should wane east of north-central KS.

    ..Grams.. 07/04/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9pWELq0NfKPfbUzMsQHUM4CJg-6BukQydjR5_3XunWZ7qpus74DkinVppPwX2_-wudjFU3cB2= Ps9rRCCn2Pjtdj_iO0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

    LAT...LON 40360005 40449972 40649905 41269835 41479780 41249715
    40559728 39469786 39159831 38829909 38820002 38870087
    39570068 40360005=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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