ACUS11 KWNS 302224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302224=20
SCZ000-302330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1499
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Areas affected...portions of central into southern South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 302224Z - 302330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A couple of strong/damaging gusts (45-55 mph) may occur in
wet downbursts with the stronger storms. A 60+ mph gust cannot be
ruled out, but the severe threat should be too isolated to warrant a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...Cold pool mergers are occurring with congealing
multicellular storms over central SC, and these storms are
progressing southward amid a highly buoyant airmass. Over 2500 J/kg
MLCAPE precedes the storms, which should foster continued
propagation of strong updrafts on the leading edge of the southern
moving cold pool. Wet downbursts may accompany the stronger storm
cores, with damaging gusts possible. Nonetheless, vertical wind
shear is weak, so the overall severe threat should be sparse,
precluding a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance.

..Squitieri.. 06/30/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9ITTk3r1tf7T2uYyXBHqpnIPHy0I9okNsl4mttwlw1caoE5N7aN1A7YBe9qqjEoJfFLe8TDXQ= XW60CFk2kSRZ96Z1E4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON 33668166 34078079 33847982 33537973 33318002 33138060
33018108 33098155 33668166=20


=3D =3D =3D
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