ACUS11 KWNS 101915
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101915
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-102115-

Mesoscale Discussion 2279
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Arkansas into parts of Tennessee and
Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 101915Z - 102115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Widely scattered thunderstorms will affect areas from
northeast AR into portions of KY/TN through the afternoon. Locally
damaging winds are possible. A watch is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have begun to develop along an axis from
northern AR into parts of KY/TN. This is along and south of a
surface boundary, where temperatures have warmed into the upper
80-mid 90s. High PWAT values around 2 inches, MLCAPE over 1500
J/kg, and strong daytime heating suggest a few storms may
occasionally produce gusty/damaging winds. Mid-level westerly flow
of 25-30 knots may also encourage a few organized multicell
clusters. Present indications are that the coverage of severe will
be limited.

..Hart/Guyer.. 09/10/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6qZjxpWjYAwsj2vu39uXyUcrsHKriIYz_h8q9MQYxZr95a9m2OOjd-icVkqRiJt4Z-bPjQpJ29U4yKdIF2RiRCZ7x10$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...
SGF...

LAT...LON 37439063 37258807 37468600 37038432 36278502 35908602
35478902 35219136 35949262 37439063

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)