ACUS11 KWNS 011431
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011430=20
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-011630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0934
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0930 AM CDT Mon Jun 01 2026

Areas affected...western/middle Tennessee...northern
Mississippi...northern Alabama

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely=20

Valid 011430Z - 011630Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging wind risk to increase through the late
morning/early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms continues to move south and east
into western Tennessee, with occasional taller echo tops and
lightning activity steadily increasing over the last hour. To the
south, a hot and very unstable air mass is in place with
temperatures in the low to mid 80s across southern TN into northern
MS. Though flow is generally weak, forecast soundings indicate
steepening low-level lapse rates are expected across much of the
region. As the storms continue into the better air mass to the
south, will support potential for increasing damaging wind threat
downstream through the afternoon. A watch will likely be needed
soon.

..Thornton/Mosier.. 06/01/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9TpdkpMt1VL88PESTVltcyJGePLZvdzYaxpnzmo5r7eRGWCx9CphMBIzF826BfulUx0peDaXu= gCVn_ar4zbau4Fmiq8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON 34528993 34829004 35039006 35249000 35708931 35968857
35938775 35738725 35438687 34698651 34318651 34038708
33958809 33958873 33998908 34208957 34528993=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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