• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0931

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 1 07:19:32 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 010719
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 010718=20
    IAZ000-010845-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0931
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0218 AM CDT Mon Jun 01 2026

    Areas affected...parts of southwestern Iowa

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259...

    Valid 010718Z - 010845Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong thunderstorm development posing a risk for
    severe hail and locally strong surface gusts remains possible,
    perhaps another few hours in a corridor southeast of Omaha through
    the Lamoni IA vicinity. However, this threat appears isolated and
    marginal enough that a new severe weather watch is not currently
    anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Stronger thunderstorm development has become more
    isolated and now focused to the east-southeast of Omaha, where
    latest objective analysis indicates boundary-layer instability
    remains maximized in a narrow corridor extending southeastward
    toward the Lamoni, IA vicinity. Given potential inflow of this air,
    continuing isolated supercell development remains possible. How
    much longer, however, remains unclear due to weak supporting
    low-level forcing for ascent and increasing inhibition with
    continued slow boundary-layer cooling.

    ..Kerr.. 06/01/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8Q0pfPqHbnta2OdZ29sYrWog6um3PjV4tNQxyzqxitlNwCyNFXy_JGQYfq-XLlhb6JUHAGE07= khltMqF4qCCA2edJmg$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...

    LAT...LON 41379514 41139462 40879412 40639430 40589495 41249568
    41379514=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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