• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0442

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 15 04:55:36 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 150455
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 150455=20
    OHZ000-MIZ000-150600-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0442
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1155 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

    Areas affected...Northwest Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 150455Z - 150600Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...The threat for isolated wind damage may spread into
    northwest OH, just southeast of WW #113. However, the need for a
    new watch into OH is uncertain.

    DISCUSSION...A well-developed MCS with bowing segments and a comma
    head/MCV structure continues across southeast Lower MI. The storms
    are moving southeastward and will reach the edge of WW #113 near and
    after 06z. The downstream environment is less buoyant into OH, in
    the wake of earlier convection, but there is also strong southwest
    flow just off the surface to advect moisture northeastward. It is
    not clear if the storms will maintain severity into northwest OH,
    but this area will be monitored for a small watch after 06z.

    ..Thompson/Hart.. 04/15/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-zBTOLqn8LhJVs4CcyISBCgwMe5z-Y0Ud3pySGZ6E1NJhdcmlGc4Lc4TFxriCiJBQ7OIoSG37= ef-CLBORy3KcPzrgvQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...IWX...

    LAT...LON 41278202 41148239 41118309 41258424 41418478 41638471
    41788379 41938269 41828218 41528180 41278202=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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