• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0430

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 14 23:08:00 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 142307
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 142307=20
    WIZ000-150000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0430
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0607 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

    Areas affected...Southeast Wisconsin

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 109...

    Valid 142307Z - 150000Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 109 continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk for tornadoes (possibly strong) and destructive
    hail will continue with two supercells moving towards the Milwaukee
    metro region.

    DISCUSSION...Two supercells are tracking eastward toward Milwaukee
    and nearby suburbs. These supercells have a history of producing
    large to very-large hail in Madison. The KMKX VAD shows ample
    low-level shear and near 50 kts of 0-6 km shear. With steep
    mid-level lapse rates, large to very-large hail will remain
    possible. The tornado threat is greatest with the lead supercell
    with KMKX showing periodic increases in low-level
    inflow/organization. Tornadoes, potentially strong, are also
    possible.

    ..Wendt.. 04/14/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!69QTU9ZjoIiv4IUczjYNHgE5lOQ-UnfWWiz0qnk0A_wkz1ki0XyyRAGeoPzQXY5M72Ik0wpa0= UKhAxA79bXgkYyZ6qc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MKX...

    LAT...LON 43078912 43328901 43408795 43178773 42988780 42978895
    43078912=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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