ACUS11 KWNS 142152
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142152=20
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-142315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0426
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0452 PM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Areas affected...Upper Ohio Valley Vicinity

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 142152Z - 142315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado are
possible into the next couple of hours in southwest Pennsylvania. A
watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A weak MCV continues to promote thunderstorm
development in southwest Pennsylvania into northern West Virginia.
The environment farther east is drier and should lead to a general
downtrend in intensity with time. That being said, storms closely
tied to the MCV could produce isolated damaging gusts. The low-level
wind shear near the MCV core is slightly enhanced per the KPBZ VAD.
A brief tornado, though unlikely, is possible in southwest
Pennsylvania immediately ahead of the MCV.

..Wendt/Hart.. 04/14/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4lD_-Gnu9IsCOPKiBZvIuB9RoxYgDaTj0PYT6Ys9Zd9b6IqRqavWObOnJIRk3eA9iXyE0CQC-= WRvj3OQUCOIVhRVlEM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

LAT...LON 40078130 40508084 40547967 40237880 39797869 39547913
39487968 39468007 40078130=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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