• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1257

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 11 23:46:24 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 112346
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 112345=20
    WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-120115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1257
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0645 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

    Areas affected...portions of eastern Iowa into extreme southwest
    Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408...

    Valid 112345Z - 120115Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain likely over at least the next
    couple of hours, though an instance of hail still cannot be ruled
    out.

    DISCUSSION...Storms have been growing upscale into a loosely
    organized convective cluster/possible MCS, with a history of
    continued severe gusts. These storms continue to progress eastward
    along a baroclinic boundary amid weak buoyancy. It is unclear how
    much longer robust severe-gust potential will persist with this
    storm cluster. However, severe gusts remain possible in the
    near-term given steep low-level lapse rates.

    ..Squitieri.. 06/11/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9bC15EDneI6xYRK6TbRqET630dwM_C9JaK4RBKBoWrEP5t-jcM-dtUwEI_-IWOaG_1xuFat_L= tvuNZik_FlHjUk8p8I$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

    LAT...LON 42469374 42969305 43299175 43239037 42929009 42549012
    42319040 42269105 42259264 42289330 42469374=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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