• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1253

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jun 11 21:58:50 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 112158
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 112158=20
    WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-112330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1253
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0458 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

    Areas affected...portions of northern Iowa

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408...

    Valid 112158Z - 112330Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 408
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe wind should continue over the next couple of hours
    with ongoing supercells, especially if they can merge their cold
    pools to support MCS upscale growth. A couple instances of severe
    hail may also occur.

    DISCUSSION...At least one supercell, with a history of wind damage
    and gusts around 70 mph, along with sub-severe hail, continues to
    track along a baroclinic boundary. Some of the latest MRMS mosaic
    radar data depicts other robust thunderstorms near the ongoing
    supercell, which may be in the process of merging. If these storms
    merge into an MCS while traversing this boundary, additional severe
    gusts are likely, accompanied by a secondary threat of large hail.

    ..Squitieri.. 06/11/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5SY2NjYYJdNzCZ0H02JpwUkIcY9wIEFTL-1bNlgU1zrdVZuPU8-AIgUNqoUkAsU_pUSRTOaba= 8IEA7pCJQRKFvA-NyQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...

    LAT...LON 42339185 42389393 42569430 42759454 42899450 43229412
    43509259 43469148 43269114 42849096 42559102 42429117
    42339185=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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