ACUS11 KWNS 100739
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100739=20
TXZ000-NMZ000-100915-

Mesoscale Discussion 1238
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0239 AM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Areas affected...Portions of West Texas into the Trans Pecos

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 100739Z - 100915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Severe wind threat may persist for a few more hours.

DISCUSSION...A MCS across West Texas has become mostly outflow
dominant and sub-severe. Some stronger winds are still being sampled
by the KMAF radar north of Midland, but given the structure of the
reflectivity and orientation of the outflow, do not expect the
severe wind threat to persist much longer from these storms. Farther
south, a few stronger cells are persisting west of Midland. These
storms are in an environment with greater instability and stronger
shear. In addition, the outflow is more favorably oriented to the
deep-layer shear vector. Therefore, this cluster of storms may
persist for several more hours as it moves southeast with a primary
threat of severe wind gusts.

..Bentley/Hart.. 06/10/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7wLIVaHv_YINmQOgh94L8BT6TzgCNuiehmuVc5YVv457iSUnSozSGQZPi7rsrKZiXe28e9Ah6= df4hi9-kSvUOgmH1Cg$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 32100293 31720220 31030182 30760238 30880308 31340353
31800372 31970376 32100293=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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