ACUS11 KWNS 081912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081912=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-082115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1867
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024

Areas affected...eastern North Carolina into southeastern Virginia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 614...

Valid 081912Z - 082115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 614 continues.

SUMMARY...Brief tornado risk continues across portions of Tornado
Watch 614.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar loop shows little movement of the center
of Tropical Storm Debby (still in the vicinity of the North
Carolina/South Carolina border southeast of Charlotte, NC), while
individual cells in convective bands within the northeastern
quadrant of the storm having become a bit stronger in general over
the past couple of hours. This intensification is likely related to
modest heating through some cloud breaks, that has allowed weak destabilization/small increases in mixed-layer CAPE to occur. In
tandem with this cellular increase, and given the favorable
background low-level flow field, an uptick in coverage of storms
exhibiting low-level rotation has been observed overall. The most
active area in terms of low-level circulations has been in the
vicinity of the northeastern North Carolina/southeastern Virginia
border region, where rotating cells continue moving northwestward,
along with occasional radar hints of potential/brief tornadoes.=20=20

Overall, expect the situation to remain generally steady-state, with
continued risk for brief tornadoes likely to persist over the next
several hours.

..Goss.. 08/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!91Y74LSiMcZ2MJ-wascVRPdOzrQHFw1i1HlNIskPrpxjvR1gTdtt8c5-buNdZBnkK_TFn75il= 76vgv8yJ9PMn4mz78w$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

LAT...LON 34517765 35407806 36367868 37207841 37507760 37297682
36597618 35287590 34257660 34517765=20


=3D =3D =3D
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