• TS Debby Moving Slowly NE

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Wed Aug 7 07:59:00 2024
    324
    WTNT34 KNHC 071154
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Debby Intermediate Advisory Number 20A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024
    800 AM EDT Wed Aug 07 2024

    ...DEBBY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
    ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.2N 79.4W
    ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * North of South Santee River, South Carolina to Cape Fear, North Carolina

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * North of the Savannah River to Surf City, North Carolina

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * North of Surf City, North Carolina to Beaufort Inlet, North Carolina

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
    For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
    Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.

    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible within the watch area.

    Interests elsewhere along the southeastern coast of the United
    States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
    warnings may be required later today.

    For storm information specific to your area, including possible
    inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
    local National Weather Service forecast office.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Debby was
    located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude
    32.2 North, longitude 79.4 West. Debby is moving toward the
    northeast near 4 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the north and
    north-northwest is expected today, bringing the center of Debby to
    the South Carolina coast by tonight or early Thursday. A faster
    motion toward the north and north-northeast across the Carolinas and
    the U.S. Mid-Atlantic region is expected on Thursday and Friday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some strengthening is possible today or tonight before the
    center of Debby reaches the coast of South Carolina. Weakening is
    forecast to begin on Thursday after the center moves inland. Debby
    is expected to merge with a frontal boundary over the U.S.
    Mid-Atlantic states on Friday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
    from the center. A wind gust to 44 mph (70 km/h) was recently
    reported at Murells Inlet South Carolina.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Debby can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue along the
    coast of South Carolina within the tropical storm warning area
    through Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected
    within the tropical storm warning area and possible within the
    tropical storm watch area in North Carolina today and continuing
    through Thursday.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
    the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    South Santee River, SC to Cape Fear, NC...2-4 ft

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.

    RAINFALL: Debby is expected to produce an additional 3 to 9 inches
    of rainfall with locally higher amounts, leading to maximum storm
    total amounts as high as 25 inches in South Carolina and 15 inches
    in southeast North Carolina, broadening the area of considerable
    flooding across portions of South Carolina and southeast North
    Carolina through Friday.

    An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall with locally higher amounts
    is possible across southeast Georgia through Thursday, bringing
    overall storm total amounts as high as 15 inches, which may
    aggravate any ongoing flooding conditions.

    From the Piedmont of South Carolina northward across portions of
    Virginia, 3 to 7 inches with local amounts to 10 inches, are
    expected through Friday. This rainfall will likely result in areas
    of considerable flash and urban flooding, with river flooding
    possible.

    From Maryland north through Upstate New York and Vermont, 2 to 4
    inches, with local amounts to 6 inches, are expected through
    Saturday morning. This will likely produce considerable flash and
    urban flooding as well as river flooding.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Debby, please see the National Weather Service
    Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. For a list of
    rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see
    the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the WMO header ACUS44
    KWBC or at the following link: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html .

    TORNADOES: A tornado or two may occur over eastern North Carolina
    and extreme eastern South Carolina through tonight.

    SURF: Large swells will continue to affect the Southeast U.S.
    coast through the end of the week. These conditions are likely to
    cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch/Roberts

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