ACUS11 KWNS 062232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062231=20
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-070000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1850
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2024

Areas affected...Southeast PA...NJ...northern MD/DE

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605...606...

Valid 062231Z - 070000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605, 606
continues.

SUMMARY...Gusty winds will accompany convection as it propagates
east-southeast this evening. Some consideration is being given to a
new WW into portions of northern MD/DE; however, ongoing convection
may only clip adjacent regions just south of Severe Thunderstorm
Watches 605/606.

DISCUSSION...Considerable amount of convection has evolved along the
southern portions of stronger westerly flow, immediately ahead of a
progressive short-wave trough. Multiple clusters and several line
segments extend across the OH Valley into eastern PA/northern NJ.
One notable MCS is propagating across the southeast portions of
ww605 into southwest ww606. Over the last hour or so the southern
flank of this complex has gradually sagged to near the PA/MD border.
It's very warm just south of this activity into northern MD where
surface temperatures are holding in the 90s. There is some concern
this MCS may propagate into northern MD/DE which is not currently in
a Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Gusty winds should accompany these
storms. Will continue to monitor for possible ww.

..Darrow.. 08/06/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!56zHmPomPJ-dYO017nTRfXNcjm3cCAXEwETnxnTXzfM5XT8My09zzfrfNNHgJtSFKhOMt2gkU= p2RdDpgWrgMcfduecY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 39827811 40397575 40227480 39627505 39397756 39827811=20


=3D =3D =3D
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