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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1845

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 6 18:11:10 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 061811
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 061810=20
    PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-061945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1845
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0110 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2024

    Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Ohio into central
    Pennsylvania

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605...

    Valid 061810Z - 061945Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 605
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 605. Damaging gusts should remain the primary threat, though a
    couple more instances of severe hail may occur and a tornado cannot
    be ruled out.

    DISCUSSION...Multicell clusters and supercells, with a history of
    damaging gusts and up to golfball sized hail, remain in progress
    across western into central PA. Meanwhile, thunderstorms are
    gradually increasing in both coverage and intensity across eastern
    PA and in far northwestern OH. As such, multiple rounds of strong to
    severe thunderstorms should simultaneously progress across Severe
    Thunderstorm Watch 605 through the afternoon. The greatest (and most
    immediate) threat for severe storms remains with the western PA
    cluster, which may grow upscale into an MCS given possible cold pool
    mergers. Should this occur, a focused corridor of damaging gusts and
    perhaps a QLCS tornado may result over central PA. Otherwise, more
    discrete development over northern OH may progress toward the OH/PA
    border. Damaging gusts are possible, and an instance of large hail
    or a tornado cannot be ruled out with these storms. Finally, a
    couple of wet downbursts may accompany preceding storms to the east
    of the Appalachians.

    ..Squitieri.. 08/06/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-iYHRf7ZxjNvu2g11XFaLpPexrzFhlKfiHXeZYrX36ToFlfN_z-ev8T-tr0cRa9QvaCK9OR6Q= II1ehmr95LUgJ3CODE$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE...ILN...

    LAT...LON 40938351 41578218 41567689 41157629 39977604 39707696
    39807934 39898098 40108192 40398292 40938351=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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