ACUS11 KWNS 061716
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061715 COR
NCZ000-SCZ000-061745-

Mesoscale Discussion 1843
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM CDT Tue Aug 06 2024

Areas affected...portions of northeast South Carolina into southern
North Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 603...

Valid 061715Z - 061745Z

CORRECTED FOR WORDING

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 603 continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated tornado threat continues across portions of
the coastal Carolinas in association with Tropical Storm Debby. A
few brief tornadoes may accompany the stronger storms through at
least early afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Multiple bands of stronger showers and thunderstorms
are impinging on the counties in northern SC into southern NC that
border the Atlantic in advance of the center of TS Debby, which
continues to gradually drift north-northeastward this morning. Given
poor tropospheric lapse rates and widespread, persistent cloud
cover, overall buoyancy should remain modest (i.e. 500-1000 J/kg
MLCAPE, supported mainly by mid to upper 70s F surface dewpoints).
Around 200-300 m2/s2 of effective SRH may overspread the 80+ F
surface temperatures along coastal NC later this afternoon, where a
slight uptick in tornado potential may be realized. Otherwise, a
persistent threat of a stray, brief tornado should persist while
gradually shifting northward along the NC Outer Banks through the
day.

..Squitieri.. 08/06/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5iLkCTVGlQLoq7pUnU-HfGZYNrs41VtZ0DJvt42Dx2v_gPZ_GlyYmsQcItD1yMb8kXh2V3RAW= rJEeAATcUQoVY_WLa8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...

LAT...LON 34857747 34557724 33967770 33667801 32627958 32498000
33637988 34357926 34897855 34947783 34857747=20


=3D =3D =3D
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