ACUS11 KWNS 051113
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051113=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-051315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1822
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0613 AM CDT Mon Aug 05 2024

Areas affected...coastal GA vicinity

Concerning...Tornado Watch 596...

Valid 051113Z - 051315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 596 continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for a few waterspouts and brief/weak tornadoes
should be focused along the coastal Georgia vicinity through late
morning.

DISCUSSION...Convection has blossomed over the past couple hours off
the GA and FL Atlantic coast. Some of this activity has been drawn northwestward, as an outer band structure downstream of TC Debby.
The most persistent near-term band will probably remain just north
of the coastal GA-FL border, with weak, transient circulations
ongoing from southern Camden County, GA offshore. Additional banding
within lower-topped convection may also occur farther north towards
the coastal GA-SC border through the rest of the morning. While the
degree of instability is weak, but likely improved slightly from the
06Z JAX/CHS soundings, the presence of a couple-county wide ribbon
of upper 70s surface dew points across coastal southeast GA will
contribute to regenerative updrafts over the next few hours.
Enhanced low-level hodograph curvature within the northeast quadrant
of slow-moving Debby will favor threats for offshore waterspouts and
perhaps a few brief tornadoes this morning.

..Grams.. 08/05/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5XEQ9lGP3uQ6wFebyC8UQysWdI_MIVFlqKcTxQ0w1ovkQJDc0N0QqemC-G62qm9M-OtHN7pme= pyuvvNyTprCkzsyoCY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...

LAT...LON 30738112 30618149 30788194 31188191 31668182 32008152
32168125 31928043 31028098 30738112=20


=3D =3D =3D
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