ACUS11 KWNS 040154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040154=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-040330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1810
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0854 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024

Areas affected...central/southern MN

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593...

Valid 040154Z - 040330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 593
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms producing large hail and
damaging gusts remain possible across central Minnesota this
evening. Some risk could persist south of WW 593 and a local spatial
extension is possible.

DISCUSSION...A supercell on the western flank of the cluster of
storms moving through central MN remains rather intense this
evening, with MRMS MESH consistently indicating large hail around
1.5-2.5 inches is possible. This aligns well with earlier reports,
though some minor weakening may be occurring at this time.
Nevertheless, this activity is developing southward within a
moderately sheared environment along a strong instability gradient.
This may allow for organized severe convection to persist with
southward extent for a few more hours this evening. Current timing
has this cluster reaching the edge of WW 593 by 03z. If current
intensity is maintained, a local spatial extension into parts of
southern MN may be necessary.

..Leitman.. 08/04/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!__U7vPV3erms9wlVacHU-Fc6kE3vdYZX9T1izF4rfdlG0DeeAJ-fVFgP1Ue_gDvGhdeFp9rP0= z8uvyp6DU5zE0Rnn_s$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...

LAT...LON 45769504 45789336 44779258 44339268 44179345 44189419
44669542 45209539 45569531 45769504=20


=3D =3D =3D
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