ACUS11 KWNS 031854
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031853=20
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-032000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1804
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024

Areas affected...portions of eastern Pennsylvania...the DelMarVA and
into western New Jersey/southern New York.

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 591...

Valid 031853Z - 032000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 591
continues.

SUMMARY...Gradual upscale growth into bands and clusters is
possible through this evening. Damaging gusts are likely across
WW591.

DISCUSSION...The severe risk continues with scattered storms ongoing
across WW591 as of mid afternoon. Remaining inhibition has largely
been negated and additional storm development/intensification should
continue across much of the mid Atlantic. A few stronger cells have
emerged over eastern PA and northern MD/VA over the last couple of
hours. Early indications are that these storms may gradually evolve
into more organized clusters or linear segments with time owing to
the modest mid-level shear. Recent HRRR guidance also suggests
continued intensification is possible this afternoon. Damaging gusts
(some to as much as 60-70 mph) are possible with the strongest
storms should they begin to consolidate. Additional storms may also
develop through the day with at least an isolated severe risk
possible with any longer-lived clusters.

..Lyons.. 08/03/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!98dXWcl5SbeIbG4-zIKfjLfxUWuuQ-R8vjQFSw1r8B9ATsrPsSmwzUgasg-v9pMGyCBabrEOj= FGaHkV0ZTlAc40nR0s$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 39917825 40717717 41187605 41387536 41397467 41187410
41037387 40857389 40607405 40187457 39837512 39457657
39347695 39227731 39917825=20


=3D =3D =3D
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