ACUS11 KWNS 010412
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010411=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-010615-

Mesoscale Discussion 1781
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1111 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024

Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...Northwest and North-central
Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583...587...

Valid 010411Z - 010615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583, 587
continues.

SUMMARY...A wind-damage threat is expected to continue for a few
more hours across parts of the lower Missouri Valley, as an MCS
moves eastward.

DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar imagery from Kansas City
shows a severe bowing line segment over the Kansas City Metro.
Within the last hour, the line has been moving east at about 40
knots. This storm motion contributed to very strong wind gusts in
the Kansas City Metro, with several reports of winds in the 60 to 80
mph range. The bowing line segment is moving into a pocket of strong instability, with the RAP estimating MLCAPE around 4000 J/kg across
much of north-central Missouri. The instability, along with
large-scale ascent associated with a shortwave trough in eastern
parts of the central Plains, are providing support for the linear
MCS. Due to the instability, the MCS may remain organized for a few
more hours. It will continue to move eastward across northwestern
and north-central Missouri, where there will be potential for wind
gusts in the 60 to 80 mph range.

..Broyles.. 08/01/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4UbMLrlrsJ5aNR_jOPQVghReYc1zw6OyzaxiZ5EZlMmZ5aO4M97FeiBVJLMrtxvhypAFHl0lr= WhW1Y6S5KyXmSKCvSU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

LAT...LON 40159453 39919489 39599502 39209499 38829468 38739322
38819224 39109173 39919180 40189241 40219318 40239386
40159453=20


=3D =3D =3D
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