ACUS11 KWNS 150938
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150937=20
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-151130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1627
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Areas affected...Far Southeast North Dakota...Far Northeast South Dakota...Western and Southwestern Minnesota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536...

Valid 150937Z - 151130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536
continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat may continue for a couple more
hours. Isolated severe gusts and hail will be the primary threats.
Watch issuance is not expected to the southeast of WW 536.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a cluster of
strong thunderstorms from far southeast North Dakota into southwest
Minnesota, which is located along the eastern edge of a moderately
unstable airmass. The activity is being supported by a subtle
shortwave trough over the northern Plains, and by a 30 to 40 knot
low-level jet over central and northeast South Dakota. As the storms
move southeastward across western Minnesota over the next few hours,
an isolated severe threat should continue. However, instability is
considerably weaker over southwestern Minnesota, suggesting that the
overall intensity of the cluster should gradually decrease as
daybreak approaches.

..Broyles.. 07/15/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9M5dk54E6fFLEu3isJ4xrWGZeqGS4aEkWIi6-N6AN1Vezr5Boa2J2Ef6ElsVFAwtj39w3VCEg= Cxi2YT9bfVHYag_u1U$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON 46689625 46799681 46689725 46389756 46059761 45469718
44119562 43679481 43989418 44979470 45719524 46689625=20


=3D =3D =3D
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