ACUS11 KWNS 080042
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080042=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-080245-

Mesoscale Discussion 1552
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

Areas affected...Southern Plains

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 512...

Valid 080042Z - 080245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 512
continues.

SUMMARY...Gusty winds and hail remain possible with storms as they
propagate southeast this evening.

DISCUSSION...Northwesterly mid-level flow is gradually increasing
across the southern High Plains this evening as the Plains upper
trough shifts east. Surface pressures are rising across the TX
Panhandle and the primary zone of low-level confluence now stretches
from central OK to south of LBB. A concentrated corridor of
scattered strong/severe thunderstorms has evolved along this zone,
and this convection should continue to propagate south-southeast
into a modestly unstable air mass characterized by MLCAPE values on
the order of 1500 J/kg. Wind gusts in excess of 60kt have been noted
with the activity over the TX South Plains, and this should be the
primary concern as the evening progresses; although, some marginally
severe hail is also possible.

..Darrow.. 07/08/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6tZ3A65SttOIbf5C3actHlquVkkHtCRObj3cBoejPKDuXP1kN6PxhgnHY86XkFI6u1aJIT26y= JSX4W6ThApxWJmgrUE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 33980253 35409714 34229716 32830252 33980253=20


=3D =3D =3D
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