ACUS11 KWNS 060143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060143=20
NMZ000-060315-

Mesoscale Discussion 1542
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0843 PM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024

Areas affected...Eastern New Mexico

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 507...

Valid 060143Z - 060315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 507
continues.

SUMMARY...Large hail threat continues with robust convection this
evening.

DISCUSSION...High-level diffluent flow continues across the southern
Rockies early this evening. Isolated-scattered severe thunderstorms
have evolved along the east slopes of the higher terrain where
southeasterly low-level flow has maintained moisture (55-60F surface
dew points) coincident with strong boundary-layer heating. Several
supercells have evolved, and a small cluster appears to be evolving
from Guadalupe into northern Chaves County. This activity will
likely continue propagating south along the primary instability axis
given the modest northwesterly 500mb flow. More isolated activity
will continue south into far west Texas. Radar continues to suggest
the primary risk is large hail, likely exceeding golf ball sized in
the strongest updrafts.

..Darrow.. 07/06/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_n-ZHmvf9y4UqabNWBPdMy7TuBWfpp2Jx4jaF7wkXrREu9Fr_tUAePUm2VLUta1ufi-v5mxHz= -o5TIYmEY92y38s8CY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 34860438 32750416 32720554 34900521 34860438=20


=3D =3D =3D
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