ACUS11 KWNS 270051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270051=20
IDZ000-MTZ000-270245-

Mesoscale Discussion 1438
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0751 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024

Areas affected...Southern Idaho into southwest Montana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468...

Valid 270051Z - 270245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 468
continues.

SUMMARY...Storms will remain capable of severe winds and marginally
severe hail into the evening. The environment becomes less favorable
to the east and a weakening trend is expected as storms move into
southwest Montana.

DISCUSSION...Scattered convection continues across parts of southern
Idaho and will eventually progress into southwest Montana. With the
continued approach of the upper-level trough this evening, some
additional development remains possible in western Idaho. The most
intense storms will continue to pose a risk for severe winds as well
as marginally severe hail. The hail threat should generally be
modulated by somewhat limited buoyancy. With temperatures cooler and
the airmass drier into southwest Montana, storms are expected to
gradually weaken with eastward extent.

..Wendt.. 06/27/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5gEYRcP6ckIoE4Fb_A_M84ForsRK_UJAwzg1un80SxNaG6nkEK54q9bluYl3-rdd4KsVXOsm1= -6VwcL0UDk2YZWjoB8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TFX...PIH...MSO...BOI...

LAT...LON 42801547 42971578 43571635 43741628 44491574 45601400
45521339 44721250 43681193 42861260 42591406 42801547=20


=3D =3D =3D
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