• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1114

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 1 21:54:56 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 012154
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 012154=20
    NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-012300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1114
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0454 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

    Areas affected...much of eastern CO...western KS...and parts of
    western NE

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366...

    Valid 012154Z - 012300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 366
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of severe storms should gradually mature
    and move east with a risk for hail and damaging winds. Additional
    storm development is possible farther east into parts of KS/NE.

    DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, regional observations showed several
    widely scattered clusters of strong to severe storms ongoing from
    southern WY into eastern CO and far western KS. Hail and damaging
    winds have occurred with these storms, and that threat will likely
    continue this afternoon and into the evening given moderate buoyancy
    and effective shear in place.=20

    Additional storm development appears likely along the eastern
    fringes of WW366 later this afternoon into the evening from parts of
    northwest KS into southwestern NE. Deepening cumulus was noted along
    a modifying baroclinic zone from near GLD to OGA. Hi-res guidance
    and observation trends suggest a few more strong to severe storms
    are likely within this zone. Given the moderate buoyancy and bulk
    shear, organized storms capable of hail and damaging winds also
    appear likely. A tornado or two will also be possible given some
    enhanced low-level shear along the modified boundary.

    ..Lyons/Hart.. 06/01/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6cCPn_-WzjUpoBO-fWT3Aud2lcyRhxqmDmgmRM4kWYatdKPynQq0RhkRcL784VrbedHOX-trU= bnu1TTz0cKtUieb9K8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 37000239 37000321 37020367 37280374 39400379 41150400
    41910374 42350260 42420147 42210100 41660064 40920045
    39150027 38560049 37540126 37100190 37000239=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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