ACUS11 KWNS 011833
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011832=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-012030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 PM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Areas affected...Portions of southeast Texas and far southwest
Louisiana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365...

Valid 011832Z - 012030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and locally damaging winds remain
possible across portions of southeast Texas and far southwest
Louisiana this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from KHGX/KLCH shows loosely
organized clusters of convection (with weak embedded rotation)
spreading slowly northward along a related outflow boundary across
southeast TX and far southwest LA this afternoon. Ahead/north of the
outflow, strong heating/destabilization of a very moist boundary
layer (middle/upper 70s dewpoints) should support embedded strong
updrafts, despite a somewhat anafrontal evolution of the convection. Additionally, VWP depicts around 30-40 kt of 0-6 km shear, and this
may increase to around 50 kt as a subtle midlevel speed max
(associated with remnant MCV to the northwest) continues
east-southeastward. As a result, loosely organized clusters of
storms (with transient/embedded supercell structures) will be
capable of producing locally damaging winds (60-70 mph) and isolated
large hail (1.0-1.75 inches) through the afternoon.

..Weinman.. 06/01/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4F5n66EhFvz8FpYN9LPqnAmftSgfDOEv5oOc6QXFfsEz2EEuq8Muqn080kjfoxkb5vusryefs= XEffPX9RmXeM4i1u58$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...

LAT...LON 30079284 29959455 29829488 29839551 30049591 30329579
30679532 30999458 31109354 30999302 30759281 30209266
30079284=20


=3D =3D =3D
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