ACUS11 KWNS 310026
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310025=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-NMZ000-310200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1086
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0725 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Areas affected...The Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles...and the Texas
Caprock

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

Valid 310025Z - 310200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe, damaging wind gusts near 60-70 mph and localized
very large hail near 2.0-3.5" in diameter will continue across the
severe thunderstorm watch.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar data from KAMA and KLBB indicate two main
areas of severe threat concern. The first is associated with a QLCS
progressing southeastward across the TX and OK Panhandles, where
wind gusts around 65 mph have already been reported behind an
outflow boundary and deepening cold pool. The outflow boundary
associated with this system is now preceding the convergence zone,
and as it progresses into the southern TX panhandle and TX/OK
border, a general weakening trend is anticipated. This unfavorable,
downstream environment is indicative of larger CINH via the cold
pool from today's earlier convective complex. Therefore, a
downstream WW into OUN's CWA is not anticipated at this time. A few
updrafts may manage to develop along the new outflow boundary near
the AMA/LUB CWA border.

Further south, west and southwest of Lubbock, discrete thunderstorms
and transient supercells continue to develop off the residual
north-south outflow boundary. Large hail will be favored here, where
westerly deep layer effective shear of 55-60 kt coincides with a
narrow corridor of steep mid-level lapse rates.

..Barnes.. 05/31/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_IZm7LkxugdIaa-fVt1_DziYlOtLJZe0WZbPMUYJUzYuaMHjOUcBpj25fvEGhvm3eo7q6VV3v= YFm8d6tplIJMzl_jkQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 32960249 32950307 33700324 35590345 35640297 35430252
35310184 35630124 36200107 36770105 37150097 37300071
37180009 36899979 36419971 35609975 34529965 34259991
34330023 34340077 34050133 33000182 32960249=20


=3D =3D =3D
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