ACUS11 KWNS 290007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290006=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-290200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1059
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Areas affected...Southern Plains

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 290006Z - 290200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Marginally severe hail and gusty winds may accompany
convection this evening.

DISCUSSION...Convection that developed across the TX Panhandle late
this afternoon has evolved into a squall line that is now
propagating into the western parts of OK and northwest TX. A modest
cold pool has formed in the wake of this activity which appears to
be aided by a weak short-wave trough progressing through the ridge.
With the LLJ expected to remain focused across the southern High
Plains, and much weaker buoyancy currently observed over central OK,
this activity is not expected to be particularly strong as it
advances east. Some hail could approach severe levels, otherwise
gusty winds are the primary concern.

..Darrow/Smith.. 05/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-XWESdkRXeN95z3dUZu6WGaaa3LKXC41E7q_UquSUBf5hS0HnFRdcn9rdbLi13oxBwU8CqJwp= kq-zniHD2qxx0Y1AL0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 33799990 36000028 35909922 33979901 33799990=20


=3D =3D =3D
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