ACUS11 KWNS 281746
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281745=20
MEZ000-281915-

Mesoscale Discussion 1044
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Areas affected...portions of Maine

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 281745Z - 281915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong thunderstorms producing gusty winds and
hail to near 1 inch diameter are possible this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Isolated convection is deepening across parts of
western Maine early this afternoon in an area of low-level
convergence. Stronger heating in cloud breaks has occurred over this
area, and dewpoints in the mid 60s F are supporting modest
destabilization. Vertical shear suggest marginal supercells will be
possible, though weak instability will largely limit severe
potential. Nevertheless, cool temperatures aloft and elongated
hodographs imply hail will be possible with the stronger cores, in
addition to strong gusts around 45-60 mph. Isolated coverage and the
marginal nature of the severe risk will preclude watch issuance.

..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-p5UdAecuYaGMdYetjRbU3KWxubGjgGfjItaBazE9PGHNLUpsncsSoKTSaaYhLWN7uKUvELR7= 5b1JPrBtJbUpLIPKNw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON 46706859 46386805 45726808 45216826 44976847 44146967
44297014 44497039 44887031 45706970 46676891 46706859=20


=3D =3D =3D
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