ACUS11 KWNS 281702
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281701=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-281830-

Mesoscale Discussion 1040
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Areas affected...southwest to south-central Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 281701Z - 281830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms may persist southeast
across southwest and south-central Louisiana this afternoon.
Damaging gusts will be the main hazard with this activity. A severe thunderstorm watch may be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms ongoing
near the TX/LA border at midday may persist southeast through the
afternoon along a surface boundary. A very moist (mid 70s to near 80
F dewpoints) boundary-layer exists across the area beneath very
steep midlevel lapse rates (8 C/km) and strong vertical shear (40+
kt effective shear). While this cluster of storms is less intense
compared to early in the morning, the downstream environment remains
favorable for organized severe. A severe thunderstorm watch may be
needed soon if current trends persist/intensify.

..Leitman/Hart.. 05/28/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7_q_OcrrH66U3ogsb52ja1VT3VCwAEwtDqU6IAst9B1UIsVDB_tJoxez8GV9EZJJOclZpBtef= 9a7K_6trRdYPQ7YqbQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31489379 31379292 30769175 30309103 29909068 29389075
29159135 29369264 29629367 29879397 30889413 31489379=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)