ACUS11 KWNS 072224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072224=20
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-080000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0682
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

Areas affected...Portions of upper Mississippi Valley

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 072224Z - 080000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated marginally severe hail and strong wind gusts are
possible with storms in eastern Iowa, southwestern Wisconsin, and
northwest Illinois.

DISCUSSION...A very narrow warm sector has developed in the upper
Mississippi Valley southeast of an occluded surface cyclone.
Deep-layer shear is quite marginal, but a few semi-organized storms
are possible over the next 1-3 hours. The threat should be short
lived as the storms will likely move into outflow from storms along
the warm front (particularly in Wisconsin). Furthermore, dewpoints
have been mixing out over the last hour. Isolated marginally severe
hail and strong wind gusts will be possible with this activity.

..Wendt/Hart.. 05/07/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4-e9LdhJHtdJlwttPcBWPYQiPI3V7vrvpXEjqUbA6cmN_5G6Hru_b8jPwSdIOzh_-bHQwMekO= QmIfyWhzukT-LnJZ44$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...

LAT...LON 43199188 43539166 43529071 42538984 41888980 40998989
40749042 40829095 41029125 43199188=20


=3D =3D =3D
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