ACUS11 KWNS 260220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260219=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-260345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0518
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0919 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Areas affected...portions of west and northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 260219Z - 260345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat is increasing through the evening/overnight.
A watch will likely be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted near the
Permian Basin across southwestern Texas. Expectations are for
further development to continue through the next few hours, with
upscale growth into a potential MCS overnight. Given the potential
for upscale growth, the main threats will likely be damaging winds
and hail. A tornado or two will be possible, given favorable
deep-layer shear. A watch will likely be needed within the hour.

..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/26/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4SIn5sEzHZkaZKrvpuJPOtqmp3GjC4WTckhKRwb3DHETmbiPVZ26JMn4Lk64q2xRdihFfvyaZ= x5wlCNOJIoMF9jrkwM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 31630301 31690332 31940338 32190336 32780303 33700195
34260082 34480007 34429968 34149888 34009866 33909841
33029927 32249987 31870147 31610244 31630301=20


=3D =3D =3D
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