• Ridgecrest faults increasingly sensitive

    From ScienceDaily@1:317/3 to All on Fri Apr 21 22:30:26 2023
    Ridgecrest faults increasingly sensitive to solid Earth tides before earthquakes

    Date:
    April 21, 2023
    Source:
    Seismological Society of America
    Summary:
    Faults in the Ridgecrest, California area were very sensitive to
    solid earth tidal stresses in the year and a half before the July
    2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence.


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    FULL STORY ========================================================================== Faults in the Ridgecrest, California area were very sensitive to
    solid earth tidal stresses in the year and a half before the July 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence, researchers reported at the Seismological Society of America (SSA)'s 2023 Annual Meeting.


    ==========================================================================
    "The signal of tidal modulation becomes extremely strong" after 2018,
    said Eric Beauce of Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, who noted that the
    signal was identified with seismicity that occurred around the faults
    that broke in the 2019 magnitude 7.1 earthquake.

    The link does not mean that tidal stresses -- which are very small
    compared to other tectonic stresses -- triggered the earthquake, however.

    "We don't know if something started to happen in the fault zone,
    something that is an indicator of the upcoming earthquake," Beauce
    said. "Maybe that process changed the properties of the crust in a way
    that made the crust be more sensitive to tidal stresses." Pulled by
    the same gravitational forces of sun and moon that create ocean tides,
    the solid earth also deforms in the same periodic way. People can't feel
    the changes, but the ground deforms between 10 to 20 centimeters a day.

    These solid tides "induce very, very small stress changes in the crust,"
    Beauce explains, "which can induce stress changes in all the faults
    within the crust." Although researchers have known about these tiny
    stress changes for more than a century, it has been difficult to extract
    their signal from the seismic record, and to determine whether they
    modulate seismicity.

    In the past ten years, however, better earthquake detection and analysis techniques have made it possible to search through earthquake catalogs
    to find the signal of tidal stresses, Beauce said.

    He and his colleagues built a rich, high-resolution earthquake catalog,
    using machine learning algorithms along with other techniques, for the
    past decade of microseismicity in the Ridgecrest area. (Microseismicity
    usually refers to earthquakes of magnitude 2.0 or smaller).

    They found that "there is suggestive evidence that peak seismicity happens
    when tidal stresses are maximum," Beauce said, "but this modulation is
    weak, and because it is weak, it is only suggested." Other researchers
    looking at the 2004 Indian Ocean and 2011 Tohoku megathrust earthquakes
    have detected an increase in modulation of seismicity connected to
    tidal stresses, decades before the earthquakes, said Beauce. And some scientists have been able to generate similar results in lab-created
    earthquake experiments.

    The tidal findings do not have direct implications for earthquake
    forecasting, "as we do not know if we are looking at a general phenomenon
    or one specific to the Ridgecrest earthquake only, said Beauce, "but I
    see it as a way of getting new observational constraints on the physics
    of earthquakes, possibly the preparation and nucleation of earthquakes."
    * RELATED_TOPICS
    o Earth_&_Climate
    # Earthquakes # Natural_Disasters # Tsunamis # Geology #
    Earth_Science # Near-Earth_Object_Impacts # Geography
    # Oceanography
    * RELATED_TERMS
    o Geologic_fault o 1976_Tangshan_earthquake o
    1906_San_Francisco_earthquake o Tide o Earthquake
    o Making_existing_structures_earthquake_resistant o
    2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake o Structure_of_the_Earth

    ========================================================================== Story Source: Materials provided by
    Seismological_Society_of_America. Note: Content may be edited for style
    and length.


    ==========================================================================


    Link to news story: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2023/04/230421092025.htm

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